

060 

FNUS54 KMRX 250233 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SLOWLY MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION OVERNIGHT...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW 

THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THURSDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WILL THEN RETURN FOR 

THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING A LITTLE ABOVE 

NORMAL. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL THEN SLOWLY APPROACH THE REGION BY 

SUNDAY NIGHT...BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-260345-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+6)   67-72 (-7)   53-58        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  65-70 (+15)  91-96        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.30         0.06         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  7                     N  7         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-260345-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+5)   66-71 (-5)   53-58        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-3)   65-70 (+12)  88-93        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.48         0.08         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  8                     N  8         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-260345-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+6)   66-71 (-3)   54-59        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  70-75 (+9)   92-97        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.72         0.07         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      NE  9        

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-260345-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+8)   69-74 (-2)   55-60        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-3)   69-74 (+6)   95-100       50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            4            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.64         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      NE  7        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-260345-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+9)   68-73 (-2)   54-59        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  72-77 (+9)   95-100       51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            4            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.84         0.07         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      NE  6        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    9 POOR       

MAX LVORI                          6                         6            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-260345-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+6)   69-74 (-7)   55-60        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  63-68 (+17)  91-96        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.45         0.07         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  9                     N  6         

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-260345-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+5)   71-76 (-5)   56-61        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-4)   65-70 (+12)  94-99        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            4            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.44         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  8                      NE  6        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-260345-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1033 PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2013 /933 PM CDT TUE SEP 24 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+5)   71-76 (-2)   57-62        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (0)    65-70 (+4)   95-100       50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            4            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.38         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  6                     NE  7        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$













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