

763 

FNUS54 KMRX 241920

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

320 PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SLOWLY MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW 

THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THURSDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WILL THEN RETURN FOR 

THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING A LITTLE ABOVE 

NORMAL. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL THEN SLOWLY APPROACH THE REGION BY 

SUNDAY NIGHT...BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-252015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

320 PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+6)   67-72 (-7)   53-58        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-5)   65-70 (+15)  91-96        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.30         0.06         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  7                     N  7         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-252015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

320 PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+5)   66-71 (-5)   53-58        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-5)   65-70 (+12)  88-93        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.48         0.08         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  8                     N  8         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-252015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

320 PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+6)   66-71 (-3)   54-59        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (0)    70-75 (+9)   92-97        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.72         0.07         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      NE  9        

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO 

MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-252015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

320 PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+8)   69-74 (-2)   55-60        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-6)   69-74 (+6)   95-100       50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            4            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.64         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      NE  7        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-252015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

320 PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+9)   68-73 (-2)   54-59        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-5)   72-77 (+9)   95-100       51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            4            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.84         0.07         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      NE  6        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    9 POOR       

MAX LVORI                          6                         6            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-252015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

320 PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+6)   69-74 (-7)   55-60        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-4)   63-68 (+17)  91-96        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.45         0.07         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  9                     N  6         

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-252015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

320 PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+5)   71-76 (-5)   56-61        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-7)   65-70 (+12)  94-99        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            4            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.44         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  8                      NE  6        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-252015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

320 PM EDT TUE SEP 24 2013 /220 PM CDT TUE SEP 24 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+5)   71-76 (-2)   57-62        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-3)   65-70 (+4)   95-100       50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            4            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.38         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  6                     NE  7        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

70S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$







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