

258 

FNUS54 KMRX 240213 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1013 PM EDT MON SEP 23 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION ON TUESDAY...BRINGING AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND SCATTERED 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. DRY 

CONDITIONS WILL THEN RETURN ON THURSDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING 

A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-250315-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1013 PM EDT MON SEP 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   73-78 (+3)   54-59        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  41-46 (-6)   91-96        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         0.31         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      NW  6        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-250315-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1013 PM EDT MON SEP 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+2)   70-75 (+2)   54-59        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  45-50 (-5)   90-95        56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         0.54         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      NW  6        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-250315-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1013 PM EDT MON SEP 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+3)   70-75 (+1)   55-60        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  46-51 (-7)   89-94        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.29         0.66         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      SW  6        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    4 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-250315-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1013 PM EDT MON SEP 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+3)   75-80 (+1)   56-61        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  41-46 (-5)   93-98        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.57         0.56         

LAL                   1            2            3            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      S  6         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-250315-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1013 PM EDT MON SEP 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+1)   75-80 (0)    54-59        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  42-47 (-4)   93-98        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.49         0.68         

LAL                   1            2            3            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      SE  6        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   6 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          6                         7            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-250315-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1013 PM EDT MON SEP 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+1)   75-80 (+1)   56-61        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  40-45 (-6)   90-95        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12         0.44         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      NW  6        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-250315-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1013 PM EDT MON SEP 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   75-80 (0)    57-62        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  43-48 (-3)   91-96        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.45         0.51         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     S  6         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-250315-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1013 PM EDT MON SEP 23 2013 /913 PM CDT MON SEP 23 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+4)   76-81 (-1)   59-64        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  45-50 (+2)   90-95        56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.79         0.32         

LAL                   1            3            3            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      SE  7        

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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