

946 

FNUS54 KMRX 230731

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

331 AM EDT MON SEP 23 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF OUR WEATHER TODAY.  A WEAK 

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN TUESDAY INTO 

WEDNESDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

331 AM EDT MON SEP 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+5)   47-52 (+5)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-13)  95-100 (0)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      S  3         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST

LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

331 AM EDT MON SEP 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+3)   46-51 (+2)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-10)  95-100 (+4)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      SW  5        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-240845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

331 AM EDT MON SEP 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+4)   48-53 (+3)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-5)   95-100 (+7)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      S  3         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-240845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

331 AM EDT MON SEP 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+4)   50-55 (+3)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-4)   95-100 (+10) 38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      S  8         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-240845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

331 AM EDT MON SEP 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+4)   48-53 (+1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-3)   95-100 (+8)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     S  7         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             5                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

331 AM EDT MON SEP 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+4)   47-52 (+1)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-9)   95-100 (+2)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      S  3         

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S

TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

331 AM EDT MON SEP 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+4)   52-57 (+4)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-5)   95-100 (+5)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     S  6         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-240845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

331 AM EDT MON SEP 23 2013 /231 AM CDT MON SEP 23 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+5)   55-60 (+5)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-3)   95-100 (+5)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      S 15         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY

IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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