

010 

FNUS54 KMRX 200726

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

326 AM EDT FRI SEP 20 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WILL RETREAT TODAY AS A COLD FRONT 

APPROACHES.  THE COLD FRONT WILL SWING THROUGH ON SATURDAY THEN HIGH 

PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN AGAIN FOR SUNDAY.      





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

326 AM EDT FRI SEP 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+5)   60-65 (+3)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-19)  95-100 (+1)  65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.08         0.94         

LAL                   2            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      NW 17        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

326 AM EDT FRI SEP 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+4)   58-63 (+1)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-14)  95-100 (+8)  65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.02         0.75         

LAL                   2            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      W 23         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-210830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

326 AM EDT FRI SEP 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (0)    58-63 (+2)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-8)   95-100 (+7)  65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.05         0.89         

LAL                   2            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      NW 17        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               34 FAIR      



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-210830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

326 AM EDT FRI SEP 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   60-65 (+2)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-7)   93-98 (+6)   64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.93         

LAL                   1            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     NW 14        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-210830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

326 AM EDT FRI SEP 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+2)   59-64 (+3)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-7)   95-100 (+5)  68-73        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.73         

LAL                   1            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             5                         4            



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

326 AM EDT FRI SEP 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+5)   61-66 (+4)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-13)  92-97 (-3)   60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.06         1.00         

LAL                   2            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      NW 17        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

326 AM EDT FRI SEP 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+2)   63-68 (+4)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-7)   88-93 (-1)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.30         1.29         

LAL                   2            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-210830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

326 AM EDT FRI SEP 20 2013 /226 AM CDT FRI SEP 20 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+1)   64-69 (+5)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-4)   86-91 (-1)   57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.36         1.25         

LAL                   1            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     NW 14        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$















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