

625 

FNUS54 KMRX 191904

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

304 PM EDT THU SEP 19 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL BEGIN TO RETREAT ON FRIDAY. A 

COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON SATURDAY...BRINGING BETTER 

COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO 

CLIMB THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES FOLLOWING THE FRONT 

ON SUNDAY.      





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

304 PM EDT THU SEP 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+3)   75-80 (+3)   59-64        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   56-61 (-16)  89-94        63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           60           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.06         0.13         0.49         

LAL                   1            2            3            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W 15         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               62 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT THU SEP 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   74-79 (+3)   58-63        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+3)   53-58 (-13)  91-96        65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           50           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.05         0.05         0.48         

LAL                   1            2            3            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               62 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-202015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

304 PM EDT THU SEP 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+2)   75-80 (0)    60-65        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  45-50 (-10)  89-94        64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.09         0.43         

LAL                   1            2            3            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      W 16         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-202015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT THU SEP 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+2)   79-84 (0)    62-67        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+2)   41-46 (-8)   87-92        62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         0.38         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     W 13         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-202015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT THU SEP 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+1)   78-83 (0)    60-65        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  39-44 (-11)  87-92        62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.38         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     W 15         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               42 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

304 PM EDT THU SEP 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   77-82 (+2)   61-66        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  48-53 (-11)  87-92        61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           60           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.10         0.43         

LAL                   1            2            3            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W 16         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   58 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

304 PM EDT THU SEP 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   80-85 (+1)   63-68        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+1)   42-47 (-8)   88-93        62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.30         0.38         

LAL                   1            2            3            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     W 14         

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-202015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

304 PM EDT THU SEP 19 2013 /204 PM CDT THU SEP 19 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   81-86 (-1)   64-69        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+4)   40-45 (-5)   87-92        61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.35         0.32         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     NW 12        

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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