

908 

FNUS54 KMRX 190645

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

245 AM EDT THU SEP 19 2013



.DISCUSSION...

INCREASING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL PRODUCE A CHANCE OF MAINLY 

AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND FRIDAY.  A 

COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON SATURDAY...BRINGING BETTER 

COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO 

GRADUALLY CLIMB THROUGH THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK...WITH COOLER 

TEMPERATURES FOLLOWING THE FRONT ON SUNDAY.      





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-200745-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

245 AM EDT THU SEP 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+5)   56-61 (+1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-7)   95-100 (+5)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     W  5         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-200745-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

245 AM EDT THU SEP 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+5)   56-61 (+1)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-4)   92-97 (+12)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     W  3         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-200745-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

245 AM EDT THU SEP 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+5)   56-61 (+2)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-9)   88-93 (+5)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM                     2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     W  5         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-200745-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

245 AM EDT THU SEP 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+5)   57-62 (+1)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-10)  87-92 (+9)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      2 PM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     W  5         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY

IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-200745-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

245 AM EDT THU SEP 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+5)   55-60 (0)    79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-10)  91-96 (+11)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM                     2 PM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     W  5         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY

IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-200745-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

245 AM EDT THU SEP 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+6)   56-61 (0)    80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-7)   95-100 (+10) 43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      W  5         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-200745-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

245 AM EDT THU SEP 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+7)   59-64 (+2)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-12)  88-93 (+3)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM                     2 PM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      W  6         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST

EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-200745-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

245 AM EDT THU SEP 19 2013 /145 AM CDT THU SEP 19 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+7)   59-64 (+1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-11)  87-92 (+4)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      W  6         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS NEAR 80.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$















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