

600 

FNUS54 KMRX 181913

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

313 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2013



.DISCUSSION...

MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY INCREASE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE EACH DAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE 

REGION ON SATURDAY...BRINGING BETTER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY CLIMB THROUGH 

THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK...WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES FOLLOWING THE 

FRONT ON SUNDAY.      





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-192015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

313 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   71-76 (+4)   56-61        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 58-63 (-5)   95-100       42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            11 PM        CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.09         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      W  7         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-192015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

313 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+4)   71-76 (+5)   57-62        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+8)   55-60 (-3)   88-93        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            11 PM        CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.07         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      NW  7        

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-192015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

313 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   73-78 (+5)   56-61        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+11)  47-52 (-9)   86-91        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                      2 PM         

PRECIP END                         8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      W  6         

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-192015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

313 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    77-82 (+5)   58-63        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+3)   44-49 (-9)   87-92        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      W  5         

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



NCZ060-061-192015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

313 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-1)   76-81 (+5)   56-61        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+4)   45-50 (-10)  89-94        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      W  5         

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    21 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-192015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

313 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   75-80 (+6)   57-62        82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+7)   51-56 (-5)   93-98        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            11 PM        CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.06         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      W  6         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-192015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

313 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (0)    77-82 (+5)   59-64        82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+9)   47-52 (-8)   89-94        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      W  7         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-192015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

313 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2013 /213 PM CDT WED SEP 18 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (0)    79-84 (+6)   59-64        84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+6)   41-46 (-9)   87-92        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     SW  7        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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