

589 

FNUS54 KMRX 171918

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

318 PM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



.DISCUSSION...

MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY INCREASE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE

EACH DAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON SATURDAY BRINGING

A HIGHER PROBABILITY OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES ARE

EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

318 PM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (0)    71-76 (-3)   55-60        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-1)   49-54 (+2)   95-100       50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            2            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      NW  8        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

318 PM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-2)   71-76 (-2)   54-59        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-13)  44-49 (-6)   95-100       51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            2            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  3                      NW  9        

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-182030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

318 PM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (0)    72-77 (-1)   54-59        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-5)   46-51 (-7)   95-100       51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            2            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     NW  6        

DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-182030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

318 PM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (0)    75-80 (-1)   56-61        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-5)   42-47 (-8)   95-100       46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            2            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      NW  6        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

NOT AS WARM. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-182030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

318 PM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   73-78 (-2)   54-59        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-6)   45-50 (-6)   95-100       47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            2            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  5                     NW  6        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    10 POOR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         6            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

318 PM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   74-79 (-2)   54-59        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+1)   44-49 (-4)   95-100       47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            2            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  5                      W  8         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

318 PM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-1)   75-80 (-2)   56-61        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-5)   46-51 (-3)   95-100       46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           10           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.09         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      W  8         

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-182030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

318 PM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013 /218 PM CDT TUE SEP 17 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (0)    76-81 (-4)   58-63        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-3)   44-49 (-2)   88-93        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           20           0            10           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      SW  5        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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