

010 

FNUS54 KMRX 171413

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1013 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



.DISCUSSION...

MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY INCREASE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE EACH DAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE 

REGION ON SATURDAY BRINGING THE BEST COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS THIS WEEK. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR 

NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-181515-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1013 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+2)   53-58 (+1)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-10)  89-94 (-2)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  7        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     S  6         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-181515-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1013 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+4)   53-58 (+1)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-10)  87-92 (-4)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9        SE  9 G19    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      SE  6        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-181515-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1013 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-1)   55-60 (+1)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+6)   89-94 (+2)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     SW  6        

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-181515-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1013 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-2)   56-61 (+1)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+4)   88-93 (0)    42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G16    SE  7 G15    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      S  8         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-181515-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1013 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-3)   55-60 (+1)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+7)   89-94 (-1)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9        SE  7        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     S  7         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   10 POOR      

MAX LVORI             5                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-181515-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1013 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+2)   55-60 (+1)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-5)   87-92 (-1)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     S  6         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-181515-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1013 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (0)    58-63 (+1)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (0)    87-92 (-2)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     SW  9        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-181515-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1013 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013 /913 AM CDT TUE SEP 17 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (0)    58-63 (+1)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+6)   87-92 (0)    48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G15    S  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           10           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     S 13         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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