

055 

FNUS54 KMRX 170700

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



.DISCUSSION...

MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY INCREASE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE EACH DAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE 

REGION ON SATURDAY...BRINGING THE BEST COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS THIS WEEK. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR 

NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-180745-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+2)   53-58 (+1)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-10)  89-94 (-2)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  7        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     S  6         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT 

WINDS. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-180745-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+4)   53-58 (+1)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-10)  87-92 (-4)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9        SE  9 G19    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      SE  6        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN 

THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-180745-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-1)   55-60 (+1)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+6)   89-94 (+2)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     SW  6        

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER 

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS 

IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-180745-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-2)   56-61 (+1)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+4)   88-93 (0)    42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G16    SE  7 G15    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      S  8         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT 

WINDS. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-180745-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-3)   55-60 (+1)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+7)   89-94 (-1)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9        SE  7        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     S  7         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   10 POOR      

MAX LVORI             5                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT 

WINDS. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-180745-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+2)   55-60 (+1)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-5)   87-92 (-1)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     S  6         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT 

WINDS. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-180745-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (0)    58-63 (+1)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (0)    87-92 (-2)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     SW  9        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT 

WINDS. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-180745-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013 /500 AM CDT TUE SEP 17 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (0)    58-63 (+1)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+6)   87-92 (0)    48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G15    S  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     S 13         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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