

940 

FNUS54 KMRX 121854

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

254 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL PASS SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT.

SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL END IN MOST AREAS BEFORE DAYBREAK FRIDAY... 

FOLLOWED BY COOLER AND DRIER AIR THROUGH THE WEEKEND.   





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

254 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-5)   69-74 (-7)   44-49        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  48-53 (-18)  91-96        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  7         N  8 G15     NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8200                      8200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     N  6         

DISPERSION                         76 GOOD                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

254 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-3)   69-74 (-7)   45-50        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-3)   47-52 (-14)  93-98        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     NW  8 G15    N  7 G16     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   4            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8800                      8800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     SW  5        

DISPERSION                         95 GOOD                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-132000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

254 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-2)   72-77 (-2)   46-51        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  41-46 (-27)  95-100       36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         N  8         N  7 G15     NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8400                      8400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     SE  5        

DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-132000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

254 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-1)   79-84 (+3)   50-55        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+1)   34-39 (-31)  90-95        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  9         N  8 G16     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            2            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8500                      8500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     SE  5        

DISPERSION                         84 GOOD                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-132000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

254 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-1)   78-83 (+4)   50-55        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+1)   36-41 (-31)  95-100       30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8        N  7         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 9300                      9300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     SE  6        

DISPERSION                         103 VERY GOOD             38 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                                                                 



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

254 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-3)   74-79 (-5)   47-52        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-2)   42-47 (-16)  92-97        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7         N  6         NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           10           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   4            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     NE  6        

DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 50. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

254 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-1)   77-82 (-4)   49-54        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-7)   37-42 (-19)  88-93        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6 G16                  NE  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  8 G15     N  6         NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      7600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     NE  7        

DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 60. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-132000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

254 PM EDT THU SEP 12 2013 /154 PM CDT THU SEP 12 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (0)    81-86 (-2)   53-58        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-8)   33-38 (-19)  81-86        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      NE  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  9         N  8 G16     NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8100                      8100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     E  6         

DISPERSION                         90 GOOD                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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