

387 

FNUS54 KMRX 120905

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

505 AM EDT THU SEP 12 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS TODAY...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 

BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A COLD FRONT

IS FORECAST TO PUSH THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY 

MORNING. A COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS WILL BUILD IN FRIDAY THROUGH 

THE WEEKEND.       



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-131000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

505 AM EDT THU SEP 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-1)   57-62 (-5)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-10)  93-98 (-4)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.17         0.00         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      8200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     NW 14        

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   76 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-131000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

505 AM EDT THU SEP 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-2)   56-61 (-3)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-4)   91-96 (-5)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W  6         NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.19         0.02         

LAL                   4            4            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      8800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     NW 18        

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   95 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-131000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

505 AM EDT THU SEP 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-1)   57-62 (-2)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-6)   92-97 (-4)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.20         0.02         

LAL                   3            3            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      8400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   71 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-131000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

505 AM EDT THU SEP 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (0)    61-66 (-1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-7)   85-90 (-7)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.13         0.01         

LAL                   3            3            2            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      8500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   84 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-131000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

505 AM EDT THU SEP 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (0)    60-65 (-1)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-9)   87-92 (-7)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.09         0.02         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      9300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     NW 17        

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               103 VERY GOOD

MAX LVORI             3                                      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-131000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

505 AM EDT THU SEP 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (-1)   59-64 (-3)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-7)   88-93 (-8)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           10           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.16         0.01         

LAL                   4            4            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     NW 13        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 50. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-131000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

505 AM EDT THU SEP 12 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-1)   62-67 (-1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-6)   84-89 (-13)  35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.09         0.00         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      7600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     NW 14        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   73 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-131000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

505 AM EDT THU SEP 12 2013 /405 AM CDT THU SEP 12 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (-1)   63-68 (0)    82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (0)    85-90 (-11)  33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.07         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      8100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   90 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TD/SON









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