

017 

FNUS54 KMRX 111919

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

319 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS. A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO

PUSH THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. A

COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS WILL BUILD IN FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-122030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

319 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+1)   80-85 (-1)   57-62        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  48-53 (-9)   90-95        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         W  5         N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.32         0.19         0.00         

LAL                   3            4            3            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      NW 15        

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               62 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-122030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

319 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    79-84 (-2)   57-62        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  48-53 (-3)   89-94        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         W  6         NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           70           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.20         0.27         0.02         

LAL                   3            4            4            2            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      7300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     NW 16        

DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-122030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

319 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-2)   80-85 (+1)   57-62        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-1)   45-50 (-8)   91-96        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.11         0.45         0.02         

LAL                   3            3            4            2            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     NW 10        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-122030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

319 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-2)   83-88 (+1)   61-66        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-14)  41-46 (-8)   84-89        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.06         0.27         0.01         

LAL                   3            3            4            2            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      NW 10        

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-122030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

319 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    84-89 (+2)   60-65        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-9)   40-45 (-11)  88-93        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.06         0.17         0.02         

LAL                   3            3            3            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      7700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                                      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-122030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

319 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (0)    83-88 (-1)   60-65        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+3)   43-48 (-6)   86-91        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           50           10           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.20         0.30         0.01         

LAL                   3            4            4            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     NW 10        

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 50. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-122030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

319 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (0)    85-90 (0)    62-67        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-1)   41-46 (-8)   83-88        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.12         0.32         0.00         

LAL                   3            4            4            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     N  9         

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-122030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

319 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2013 /219 PM CDT WED SEP 11 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-2)   86-91 (0)    63-68        82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-4)   42-47 (-1)   85-90        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  8         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.19         0.00         

LAL                   2            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     N  9         

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S

TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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