

094 

FNUS54 KMRX 111527 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1127 AM EDT WED SEP 11 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN TODAY AND THURSDAY...WITH SHOWERS 

AND THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS EACH AFTERNOON. A COLD 

FRONT IS FORECAST TO PUSH THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY. A COOLER AND 

DRIER AIR MASS WILL BUILD IN FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.    





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-121630-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1127 AM EDT WED SEP 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (-1)   62-67 (+1)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+2)   93-98 (-1)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.06         0.20         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     W 13         

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-121630-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1127 AM EDT WED SEP 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    59-64 (0)    79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-2)   94-99 (+2)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.05         0.12         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     NW 12        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-121630-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1127 AM EDT WED SEP 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    60-65 (-1)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-2)   95-100 (+2)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.04         0.10         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     NW  9        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-121630-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1127 AM EDT WED SEP 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+2)   63-68 (0)    83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-5)   81-86 (-14)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     N  8         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-121630-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1127 AM EDT WED SEP 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (0)    62-67 (+3)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-4)   85-90 (-9)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.03         0.03         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     N  9         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   37 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-121630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1127 AM EDT WED SEP 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (-1)   62-67 (0)    83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+1)   91-96 (+2)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.04         0.13         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     NW  9        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-121630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1127 AM EDT WED SEP 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (-1)   64-69 (0)    85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+1)   88-93 (-2)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.02         0.09         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     NW  9        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-121630-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1127 AM EDT WED SEP 11 2013 /1027 AM CDT WED SEP 11 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (0)    64-69 (-2)   85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-3)   86-91 (-4)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     NW  7        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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