

693 

FNUS54 KMRX 101854

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

254 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE WEEK...WITH ISOLATED 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT IS 

FORECAST TO PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON FRIDAY.   





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-112000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

254 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+3)   82-87 (-3)   61-66        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-3)   46-51 (+1)   93-98        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           20           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.18         0.01         0.24         

LAL                   3            3            3            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     W 10         

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COOLER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-112000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

254 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   80-85 (0)    59-64        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (0)    47-52 (-5)   92-97        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           30           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.20         0.02         0.18         

LAL                   3            3            3            3            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     NW 10        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-112000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

254 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (0)    80-85 (+3)   61-66        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+3)   43-48 (-12)  92-97        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.09         0.02         0.12         

LAL                   3            3            3            3            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     NW  7        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COOLER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-112000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

254 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+3)   85-90 (+3)   63-68        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-10)  37-42 (-12)  81-86        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.05         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   3            3            3            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     NW  7        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-112000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

254 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+4)   84-89 (+1)   62-67        84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-12)  38-43 (-11)  84-89        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.06         0.01         0.06         

LAL                   3            3            2            3            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     NW  7        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-112000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

254 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+1)   83-88 (-4)   62-67        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-2)   45-50 (+1)   88-93        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           20           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            2 AM         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.16         0.01         0.15         

LAL                   3            3            2            3            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     W  8         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-112000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

254 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+1)   85-90 (-1)   64-69        85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-4)   41-46 (-5)   85-90        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.01         0.09         

LAL                   1            3            3            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      NW  7        

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-112000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

254 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013 /154 PM CDT TUE SEP 10 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-1)   86-91 (+1)   65-70        85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+2)   40-45 (-8)   84-89        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            3            2            3            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      NW  6        

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 80.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













