

979 

FNUS54 KMRX 101452

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1052 AM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE WEEK...WITH ISOLATED 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT IS 

FORECAST TO PUSH THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-111600-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1052 AM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+3)   62-67 (+3)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-4)   93-98 (-2)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            40           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.35         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     NW  6        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S

TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-111600-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1052 AM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   59-64 (+1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-5)   95-100 (+4)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.05         0.39         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      NW  7        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-111600-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1052 AM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   61-66 (0)    82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-7)   93-98 (+8)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.06         0.16         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      NW  6        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-111600-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1052 AM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+4)   63-68 (+3)   87-92        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-12)  86-91 (-5)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.06         0.08         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      NW  6        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY

IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-111600-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1052 AM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+3)   62-67 (+4)   86-91        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-8)   89-94 (-6)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.10         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      N  6         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-111600-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1052 AM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (+3)   62-67 (+1)   85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-3)   95-100 (+3)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.31         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      W  6         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-111600-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1052 AM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   64-69 (+1)   87-92        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-3)   89-94 (+1)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.11         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     W  8         

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY

IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-111600-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1052 AM EDT TUE SEP 10 2013 /952 AM CDT TUE SEP 10 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+2)   64-69 (-1)   88-93        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-5)   90-95 (+5)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      2 PM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   2            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      SW  7        

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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