

182 

FNUS54 KMRX 091836

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

236 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE WEEK...WITH ISOLATED 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT IS 

FORECAST TO PUSH THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT. 

NIGHT.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-101945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

236 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   81-86 (-1)   61-66        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-1)   47-52 (+3)   90-95        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.11         

LAL                   1            3            2            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     W  9         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-101945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

236 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-1)   78-83 (-2)   58-63        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+3)   49-54 (+3)   93-98        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.02         0.14         

LAL                   2            3            2            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     NW  7        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-101945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

236 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   78-83 (-2)   60-65        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (0)    46-51 (-1)   90-95        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.02         0.11         

LAL                   2            3            2            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  3                      NW  6        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-101945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

236 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   82-87 (-2)   62-67        84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-3)   45-50 (+1)   84-89        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            11 PM        CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.02         0.05         

LAL                   2            3            2            3            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      W  5         

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-101945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

236 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+4)   80-85 (-2)   61-66        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-7)   46-51 (+1)   86-91        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.02         0.06         

LAL                   2            3            2            3            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      NW  5        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-101945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

236 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   82-87 (-2)   61-66        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (0)    45-50 (+1)   91-96        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.08         

LAL                   1            3            2            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     W  7         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-101945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

236 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+1)   84-89 (-1)   63-68        85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-3)   44-49 (+1)   87-92        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.02         0.06         

LAL                   1            3            2            3            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     W  8         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-101945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

236 PM EDT MON SEP 9 2013 /136 PM CDT MON SEP 9 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (0)    85-90 (-2)   63-68        86-91        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-3)   44-49 (+2)   89-94        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            11 PM        CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.05         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   2            3            2            3            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      W  6         

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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