

631 

FNUS54 KMRX 020710

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

310 AM EDT MON SEP 2 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TOWARD THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY AND 

TONIGHT...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF 

WHICH MAY PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS. THE FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA 

TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL ON MONDAY...AND WILL 

THEN COOL DOWN SLIGHTLY FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-030815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

310 AM EDT MON SEP 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-1)   61-66 (-2)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-3)   95-100 (+1)  46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.18         0.01         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW 13        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-030815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

310 AM EDT MON SEP 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-2)   62-67 (-1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-5)   90-95 (-1)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.20         0.03         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-030815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

310 AM EDT MON SEP 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-2)   62-67 (-1)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-2)   91-96 (+1)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.17         0.01         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      NW 10        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-030815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

310 AM EDT MON SEP 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-1)   63-68 (-2)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-1)   89-94 (-2)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.12         0.01         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      NW 10        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-030815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

310 AM EDT MON SEP 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-2)   63-68 (-1)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-2)   88-93 (-4)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.15         0.02         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      NW 12        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   37 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-030815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

310 AM EDT MON SEP 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-1)   63-68 (-1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-5)   91-96 (-1)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.19         0.01         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      NW 12        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-030815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

310 AM EDT MON SEP 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (-1)   64-69 (-2)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-3)   91-96 (+2)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.10         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      NW 10        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-030815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

310 AM EDT MON SEP 2 2013 /210 AM CDT MON SEP 2 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (-1)   66-71 (-2)   83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-3)   89-94 (0)    46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.09         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      NW 10        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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