

997 

FNUS54 KMRX 020107 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

907 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE 

TONIGHT OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. A BETTER COVERAGE OF 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS THEN EXPECTED ON LABOR DAY...AS A COLD 

FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY. TEMPERATURES WILL 

REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL ON MONDAY...AND WILL THEN COOL DOWN TO MORE 

NORMAL LEVELS FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-030215-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

907 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (0)    81-86 (0)    61-66        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   54-59 (-4)   95-100       49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  8        SW  6        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.44         0.13         0.01         

LAL                   3            4            4            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-030215-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

907 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+2)   80-85 (0)    61-66        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+3)   54-59 (-5)   95-100       50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W  8 G16     W  5         NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.41         0.25         0.03         

LAL                   3            4            4            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      W 17         

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ072-074-030215-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

907 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+1)   80-85 (0)    62-67        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+6)   56-61 (-2)   95-100       52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G16                 W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  8 G16    SW  7 G15    NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.42         0.23         0.02         

LAL                   3            4            3            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-030215-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

907 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (0)    82-87 (0)    64-69        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+2)   55-60 (-3)   95-100       52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G19    SW  6        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.42         0.25         0.01         

LAL                   3            4            3            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 80. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



NCZ060-061-030215-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

907 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (0)    82-87 (0)    63-68        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (0)    56-61 (-3)   95-100       54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7 G19     LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.41         0.30         0.02         

LAL                   3            4            3            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NW 13        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-030215-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

907 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (0)    83-88 (0)    63-68        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  53-58 (-4)   95-100       48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    SW  5        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.42         0.17         0.02         

LAL                   3            4            3            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S.

LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-030215-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

907 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+2)   84-89 (0)    65-70        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (0)    54-59 (-3)   91-96        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW  7 G16    SW  6        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.39         0.13         0.01         

LAL                   3            4            3            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     NW 12        

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S.

LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-030215-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

907 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013 /807 PM CDT SUN SEP 1 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+1)   84-89 (0)    67-72        82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-2)   54-59 (-4)   89-94        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16    SW  6        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.37         0.15         0.01         

LAL                   3            4            3            2            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID

80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID

80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$













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