

614 

FNUS54 KMRX 011914

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

315 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE 

TONIGHT OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. A BETTER COVERAGE OF 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS THEN EXPECTED ON LABOR DAY...AS A COLD 

FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY. TEMPERATURES WILL 

REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL ON MONDAY...AND WILL THEN COOL DOWN TO MORE 

NORMAL LEVELS FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-021945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

315 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (0)    81-86 (0)    61-66        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   54-59 (-4)   95-100       49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  8        SW  6        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.44         0.13         0.01         

LAL                   3            4            4            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 

HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-021945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+2)   80-85 (0)    61-66        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+3)   54-59 (-5)   95-100       50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W  8 G16     W  5         NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.41         0.25         0.03         

LAL                   3            4            4            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      W 17         

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 

HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT 

WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT 

WINDS. 



$$



TNZ072-074-021945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

315 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+1)   80-85 (0)    62-67        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+6)   56-61 (-2)   95-100       52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G16                 W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  8 G16    SW  7 G15    NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.42         0.23         0.02         

LAL                   3            4            3            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 

HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-021945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (0)    82-87 (0)    64-69        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+2)   55-60 (-3)   95-100       52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G19    SW  6        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.42         0.25         0.01         

LAL                   3            4            3            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 

HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 80. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT 

WINDS. 



$$



NCZ060-061-021945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (0)    82-87 (0)    63-68        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (0)    56-61 (-3)   95-100       54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7 G19     LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.41         0.30         0.02         

LAL                   3            4            3            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NW 13        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 

HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT 

WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT 

WINDS. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-021945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

315 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (0)    83-88 (0)    63-68        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  53-58 (-4)   95-100       48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    SW  5        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.42         0.17         0.02         

LAL                   3            4            3            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 

HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-021945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

315 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+2)   84-89 (0)    65-70        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (0)    54-59 (-3)   91-96        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW  7 G16    SW  6        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.39         0.13         0.01         

LAL                   3            4            3            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     NW 12        

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 

HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 

80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-021945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

315 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2013 /215 PM CDT SUN SEP 1 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+1)   84-89 (0)    67-72        82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-2)   54-59 (-4)   89-94        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16    SW  6        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.37         0.15         0.01         

LAL                   3            4            3            2            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 

HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 

80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$







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