

577 

FNUS54 KMRX 010037 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

837 PM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION THIS WEEKEND...AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE 

MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THE BEST COVERAGE OF RAIN WILL BE ON LABOR 

DAY...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL 

REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH LABOR DAY...AND THEN WILL COOL DOWN TO 

MORE NORMAL LEVELS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-020145-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

837 PM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (0)    83-88 (0)    65-70        82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-9)   49-54 (-8)   87-92        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     SW  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         SW  8 G15    SW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.42         0.11         0.20         

LAL                   3            4            3            4            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     W 18         

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   62 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-020145-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

837 PM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+2)   82-87 (0)    65-70        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-6)   52-57 (-5)   87-92        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        SW  6        W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.38         0.10         0.26         

LAL                   3            4            3            4            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     W 20         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-020145-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

837 PM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+2)   81-86 (0)    65-70        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-3)   53-58 (-5)   87-92        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     SW 10 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  8 G18    W  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.36         0.12         0.37         

LAL                   3            4            3            4            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     W 18         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-020145-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

837 PM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (0)    83-88 (0)    66-71        82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-5)   53-58 (-6)   87-92        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        S  6 G15     SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.30         0.11         0.38         

LAL                   3            4            3            4            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     W 16         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-020145-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

837 PM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (0)    83-88 (0)    65-70        82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-8)   53-58 (-7)   87-92        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.32         0.09         0.34         

LAL                   3            4            3            4            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-020145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

837 PM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (0)    85-90 (0)    67-72        84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-5)   50-55 (-6)   87-92        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        S  5         W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.40         0.10         0.26         

LAL                   3            4            3            4            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     W 20         

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   74 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-020145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

837 PM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (0)    85-90 (0)    68-73        84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-4)   51-56 (-6)   87-92        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     SW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        S  7         SW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.33         0.10         0.31         

LAL                   3            4            3            4            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     W 18         

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               71 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-020145-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

837 PM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013 /737 PM CDT SAT AUG 31 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (0)    85-90 (0)    68-73        84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-7)   51-56 (-6)   87-92        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        S  6         SW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.24         0.07         0.34         

LAL                   3            4            3            4            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     W 17         

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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