

882 

FNUS54 KMRX 311331 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...UPDATED

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

930 AM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL INCREASE THE COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS THIS WEEKEND...WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE 

REGION ON LABOR DAY. A FEW STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE. 

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH LABOR DAY...AND THEN 

WILL COOL DOWN TO MORE NORMAL LEVELS FOR THE REST OF NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-011430-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

930 AM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (0)    64-69 (-1)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    92-97 (-4)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.23         0.42         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 14        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS EACH DAY THROUGH LABOR DAY MAY PRODUCE 

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. NOT AS WARM. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT 

WINDS. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-011430-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

930 AM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+1)   62-67 (-1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-3)   95-100 (+1)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.05         0.38         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS EACH DAY THROUGH LABOR DAY MAY PRODUCE 

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-011430-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

930 AM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    64-69 (+1)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-6)   90-95 (0)    51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.07         0.36         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     SW 15        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS EACH DAY THROUGH LABOR DAY MAY PRODUCE 

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 

UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S 

TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S 

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-011430-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

930 AM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (-2)   66-71 (0)    82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-2)   95-100 (+3)  53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.06         0.30         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      SW 16        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS EACH DAY THROUGH LABOR DAY MAY PRODUCE 

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO 

LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO 

MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS NEAR 80. EAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



NCZ060-061-011430-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

930 AM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (0)    64-69 (-1)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-4)   95-100 (0)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.05         0.32         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      SW 14        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         5            



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS EACH DAY THROUGH LABOR DAY MAY PRODUCE 

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO 

LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 

LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT 

WINDS. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-011430-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

930 AM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (0)    66-71 (-1)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   91-96 (-1)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.13         0.40         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS EACH DAY THROUGH LABOR DAY MAY PRODUCE 

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-011430-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

930 AM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (-1)   67-72 (-1)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-3)   88-93 (-3)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.13         0.33         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW 18        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS EACH DAY THROUGH LABOR DAY MAY PRODUCE 

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO 

LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO 

MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-011430-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

930 AM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013 /830 AM CDT SAT AUG 31 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (-3)   68-73 (0)    84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+1)   88-93 (-6)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.07         0.24         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 18        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...A FEW STORMS EACH DAY THROUGH LABOR DAY MAY PRODUCE 

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO 

LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO 

MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$







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