

634 

FNUS54 KMRX 310640

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

240 AM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL INCREASE THE COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS THIS WEEKEND...WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE 

REGION ON LABOR DAY. A FEW STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE. 

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH LABOR DAY...AND THEN 

WILL COOL DOWN TO MORE NORMAL LEVELS FOR THE REST OF NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-010745-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

240 AM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-3)   64-69 (-1)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   95-100 (+4)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.05         0.42         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 14        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. NOT AS WARM. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-010745-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

240 AM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-2)   62-67 (-1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-1)   95-100 (+4)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.05         0.38         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-010745-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

240 AM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-2)   64-69 (-1)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-7)   91-96 (+2)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.06         0.36         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     SW 15        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-010745-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

240 AM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-3)   66-71 (+1)   83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-4)   95-100 (+5)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.08         0.30         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      SW 16        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S

TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS NEAR 80. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



NCZ060-061-010745-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

240 AM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-1)   64-69 (+1)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-6)   92-97 (+1)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.08         0.32         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      SW 14        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO

LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-010745-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

240 AM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-3)   66-71 (0)    84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    93-98 (+4)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.05         0.40         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-010745-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

240 AM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-2)   68-73 (0)    85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-4)   91-96 (+4)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.05         0.33         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW 18        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO

LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-010745-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

240 AM EDT SAT AUG 31 2013 /140 AM CDT SAT AUG 31 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (-3)   68-73 (0)    87-92        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-2)   89-94 (+5)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.07         0.24         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 18        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO

LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY

IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













