

806 

FNUS54 KMRX 310103 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

903 PM EDT FRI AUG 30 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL INCREASE THE COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS THIS WEEKEND...WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE 

REGION ON LABOR DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH 

LABOR DAY...AND THEN WILL COOL DOWN TO MORE NORMAL LEVELS FOR THE 

REST OF NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-010215-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

903 PM EDT FRI AUG 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+1)   82-87 (-1)   63-68        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-3)  54-59 (+1)   95-100       56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.16         0.18         0.27         

LAL                   2            3            3            4            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      SW  9        

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-010215-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

903 PM EDT FRI AUG 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+1)   81-86 (0)    62-67        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-3)   53-58 (-3)   95-100       55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.15         0.11         0.26         

LAL                   2            3            3            4            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      SW  9        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-010215-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

903 PM EDT FRI AUG 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+1)   81-86 (0)    63-68        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-4)   52-57 (-7)   94-99        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.19         0.17         0.25         

LAL                   2            3            3            4            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      SW  9        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-010215-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

903 PM EDT FRI AUG 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+2)   84-89 (-1)   64-69        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-2)   49-54 (-7)   95-100       51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.19         0.14         0.25         

LAL                   2            3            3            4            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      SW  9        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-010215-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

903 PM EDT FRI AUG 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (0)    84-89 (+1)   61-66        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-5)   49-54 (-10)  95-100       51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.19         0.13         0.25         

LAL                   2            3            3            4            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      SW  9        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   22 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          5                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-010215-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

903 PM EDT FRI AUG 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+2)   84-89 (-1)   65-70        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-4)   52-57 (-1)   95-100       54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.18         0.18         0.25         

LAL                   2            3            3            4            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      SW  9        

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-010215-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

903 PM EDT FRI AUG 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+3)   85-90 (-1)   67-72        84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-6)   50-55 (-5)   90-95        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.21         0.18         0.23         

LAL                   2            3            3            4            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      SW  9        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-010215-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

903 PM EDT FRI AUG 30 2013 /803 PM CDT FRI AUG 30 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+2)   87-92 (-1)   68-73        86-91        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-6)   49-54 (-4)   89-94        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.19         0.11         0.23         

LAL                   2            3            3            4            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     SW  9        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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