

665 

FNUS54 KMRX 280707

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

307 AM EDT WED AUG 28 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL REMAIN IN PLACE 

TODAY...AND LIMIT RAIN CHANCES TO MAINLY SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA AND 

NORTHEAST TENNESSEE. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SAG SOUTH TONIGHT... 

BRINGING A SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR 

THURSDAY. ANOTHER STRONGER FRONTAL SYSTEM MAY IMPACT THE AREA EARLY 

NEXT WEEK...BRING MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO THE 

REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT OR ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF 

THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. 

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-290815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

307 AM EDT WED AUG 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    65-70 (+1)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-5)   95-100 (+2)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        W  5         N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.09         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      NW  7        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-290815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

307 AM EDT WED AUG 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   63-68 (+2)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    93-98 (+3)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.13         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     NW 10        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-290815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

307 AM EDT WED AUG 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   63-68 (+3)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-5)   91-96 (+1)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 PM         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.08         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      NW 12        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-290815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

307 AM EDT WED AUG 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+2)   64-69 (+5)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-7)   88-93 (-2)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-290815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

307 AM EDT WED AUG 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+3)   64-69 (+6)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-5)   85-90 (-7)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      7300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      NW 15        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   63 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-290815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

307 AM EDT WED AUG 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (0)    64-69 (+1)   85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-2)   95-100 (+6)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.08         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     NW  8        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-290815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

307 AM EDT WED AUG 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+2)   66-71 (+2)   86-91        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-4)   92-97 (+4)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     NW 10        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-290815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

307 AM EDT WED AUG 28 2013 /207 AM CDT WED AUG 28 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   67-72 (+3)   87-92        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-1)   87-92 (0)    43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      NW 15        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   74 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 70. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 70. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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