

893 

FNUS54 KMRX 231405

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1005 AM EDT FRI AUG 23 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY WILL SLOWLY MOVE 

SOUTHWARD...AND INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. 

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THIS 

COLD FRONT...WITH DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND. 

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH NEXT 

WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241515-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1005 AM EDT FRI AUG 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-1)   59-64 (-3)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-2)   95-100 (-1)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  5         SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      E 10         

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241515-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1005 AM EDT FRI AUG 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-1)   58-63 (-4)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-9)   93-98 (-4)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   3            3            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     E  9         

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-241515-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1005 AM EDT FRI AUG 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (0)    59-64 (-3)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-12)  90-95 (-6)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   3            3            2            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      NE  7        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-241515-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1005 AM EDT FRI AUG 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+3)   61-66 (-2)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-16)  90-95 (-7)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   3            3            2            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      NE  6        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-241515-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1005 AM EDT FRI AUG 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+3)   60-65 (0)    79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-16)  90-95 (-7)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   3            3            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      E  3         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   12 POOR      

MAX LVORI             6                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241515-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1005 AM EDT FRI AUG 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-1)   60-65 (-3)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-6)   94-99 (-3)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     E 10         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241515-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1005 AM EDT FRI AUG 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (0)    62-67 (-3)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-8)   90-95 (-7)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      NE 10        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-241515-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1005 AM EDT FRI AUG 23 2013 /905 AM CDT FRI AUG 23 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+4)   64-69 (-1)   83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-16)  89-94 (-8)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      NE  9        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S

TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO

LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













