

528 

FNUS54 KMRX 221409

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1009 AM EDT THU AUG 22 2013



.DISCUSSION...

WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION...WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING THIS 

AFTERNOON. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION 

ON FRIDAY MORNING...WITH DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-231515-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1009 AM EDT THU AUG 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (0)    63-68 (0)    78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-5)   92-97 (-1)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.28         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW 10        

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-231515-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1009 AM EDT THU AUG 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   62-67 (0)    76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-8)   88-93 (-3)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.30         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     W 13         

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-231515-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1009 AM EDT THU AUG 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+9)   61-66 (-2)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-20)  90-95 (-2)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.08         0.25         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      NW 12        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER

90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-231515-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1009 AM EDT THU AUG 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+10)  63-68 (-1)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-23)  93-98 (-2)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.06         0.14         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      NW 10        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-231515-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1009 AM EDT THU AUG 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+11)  62-67 (+1)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-27)  92-97 (-5)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.11         0.15         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     NW 10        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-231515-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1009 AM EDT THU AUG 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    63-68 (-1)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-5)   88-93 (-4)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.24         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      NW 12        

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-231515-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1009 AM EDT THU AUG 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+5)   64-69 (-1)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-11)  91-96 (-2)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.15         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      NW 12        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S

TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-231515-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1009 AM EDT THU AUG 22 2013 /909 AM CDT THU AUG 22 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+9)   65-70 (-1)   86-91        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-19)  92-97 (-3)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.10         

LAL                   2            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      NW 10        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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