

916 

FNUS54 KMRX 150708

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

308 AM EDT THU AUG 15 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY 

TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS TROUGH...COMBINED WITH A RETURN OF 

GULF MOISTURE...WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 

EACH DAY. SOME OF THE RAIN WILL ONCE AGAIN BE LOCALLY HEAVY THIS 

WEEKEND. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

308 AM EDT THU AUG 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+4)   55-60 (+6)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-4)   89-94 (+3)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     E  8         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

308 AM EDT THU AUG 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+2)   53-58 (+2)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-2)   91-96 (+5)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     NE  8        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 



$$



TNZ072-074-160815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

308 AM EDT THU AUG 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+1)   56-61 (+2)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-7)   91-96 (+2)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.07         0.06         

LAL                   2            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  6                      NE  7        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 



$$



TNZ087-102-160815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

308 AM EDT THU AUG 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-1)   58-63 (+1)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-8)   92-97 (+1)   59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.09         0.06         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7                      NE  7        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



NCZ060-061-160815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

308 AM EDT THU AUG 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-2)   58-63 (0)    73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-8)   90-95 (0)    59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.11         0.06         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  8                      NE  5        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   11 POOR      

MAX LVORI             4                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

308 AM EDT THU AUG 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+3)   56-61 (+4)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-2)   88-93 (+1)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     NE  8        

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

308 AM EDT THU AUG 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+1)   59-64 (+5)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (0)    89-94 (+5)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7                      NE  8        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

308 AM EDT THU AUG 15 2013 /208 AM CDT THU AUG 15 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+1)   59-64 (+2)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-2)   94-99 (+11)  55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.07         0.11         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7                      NE  8        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 



$$













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