

335 

FNUS54 KMRX 140709

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

309 AM EDT WED AUG 14 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY 

AND TONIGHT PRODUCING DRY CONDITIONS. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW 

PRESSURE WILL RE-DEVELOP ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE 

VALLEYS FOR FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS TROUGH COMBINED WITH A 

RETURN OF GULF MOISTURE WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND 

EVENING THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. SOME OF THE RAIN WILL ONCE AGAIN BE 

LOCALLY HEAVY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

309 AM EDT WED AUG 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-5)   52-57 (-3)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-27)  89-94 (-5)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         NE  5        SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      7300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      S  7         

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 AM EDT WED AUG 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-5)   53-58 (-3)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-24)  85-90 (-8)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      SE  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         12 PM        

PRECIP END                         8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      7500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     S  7         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-150815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

309 AM EDT WED AUG 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-5)   54-59 (-4)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-21)  84-89 (-7)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      S  6         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-150815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 AM EDT WED AUG 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-4)   57-62 (-4)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-18)  89-94 (0)    53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      SE  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      SE  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      SE 10        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-150815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

309 AM EDT WED AUG 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-3)   57-62 (-3)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-17)  89-94 (-7)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      SE 12        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

309 AM EDT WED AUG 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-5)   54-59 (-5)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-24)  87-92 (-1)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      SE  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      S  6         

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

309 AM EDT WED AUG 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-3)   55-60 (-4)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-26)  87-92 (-3)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         NE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     S  5         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

309 AM EDT WED AUG 14 2013 /209 AM CDT WED AUG 14 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-4)   57-62 (-5)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-19)  88-93 (+4)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NE  6        SE  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 13                     SE 10        

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS NEAR 80. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 



$$















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