

931 

FNUS54 KMRX 070827

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

427 AM EDT WED AUG 7 2013



.DISCUSSION...

MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION TODAY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALSO BECOMING WIDESPREAD 

TODAY. AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL LINGER THROUGH THE END OF 

THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND...AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES INTO 

THE REGION AND STALLS OUT AROUND THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-080930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

427 AM EDT WED AUG 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   63-68 (-3)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+3)   95-100 (+6)  60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.10         0.24         

LAL                   4            3            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW  9        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-080930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

427 AM EDT WED AUG 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-2)   62-67 (-1)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+3)   95-100 (+4)  61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.09         0.33         

LAL                   4            3            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      SW  7        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-080930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

427 AM EDT WED AUG 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-2)   64-69 (+1)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   95-100 (+3)  55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           70           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.13         0.40         

LAL                   4            3            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW  6        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-080930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

427 AM EDT WED AUG 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   67-72 (+1)   83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+6)   87-92 (-3)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           70           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.14         0.47         

LAL                   5            3            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW  7        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-080930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

427 AM EDT WED AUG 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (0)    66-71 (+2)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+8)   89-94 (-4)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           70           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.15         0.42         

LAL                   5            3            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      SW  6        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   25 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             6                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-080930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

427 AM EDT WED AUG 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-1)   65-70 (-1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+8)   95-100 (+3)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.11         0.32         

LAL                   4            3            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW  8        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-080930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

427 AM EDT WED AUG 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-1)   67-72 (-1)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+4)   95-100 (+6)  55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.23         0.37         

LAL                   5            3            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW  9        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-080930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

427 AM EDT WED AUG 7 2013 /327 AM CDT WED AUG 7 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+3)   68-73 (0)    84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-3)   94-99 (+4)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           70           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.27         0.55         

LAL                   5            3            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW  8        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 70. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 70. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TD/SON









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