

133 

FNUS54 KMRX 060858

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

458 AM EDT TUE AUG 6 2013



.DISCUSSION...

MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION TODAY...WITH A COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED 

TO MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. AN UNSETTLED 

WEATHER PATTERN WILL LINGER THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK... AS A COLD 

FRONT SLOWLY MOVES INTO THE REGION AND STALLS OUT AROUND THE 

TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-071000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

458 AM EDT TUE AUG 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+3)   63-68 (+4)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+4)   95-100 (+10) 65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.44         

LAL                   2            4            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW 14        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-071000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

458 AM EDT TUE AUG 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+4)   61-66 (+2)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-4)   95-100 (+11) 65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.03         0.37         

LAL                   2            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      SW  8        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-071000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

458 AM EDT TUE AUG 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+2)   65-70 (+5)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    87-92 (+2)   61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.05         0.44         

LAL                   2            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      SW  9        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-071000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

458 AM EDT TUE AUG 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+2)   68-73 (+7)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    86-91 (-1)   62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.07         0.43         

LAL                   2            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      S 10         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-071000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

458 AM EDT TUE AUG 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   68-73 (+8)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-1)   84-89 (-4)   62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.06         0.37         

LAL                   2            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      S  9         

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   37 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-071000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

458 AM EDT TUE AUG 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+3)   64-69 (+3)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+1)   95-100 (+10) 63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           30           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.46         

LAL                   1            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW 12        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-071000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

458 AM EDT TUE AUG 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+2)   68-73 (+6)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   89-94 (+5)   61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         0.53         

LAL                   2            4            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW 13        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-071000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

458 AM EDT TUE AUG 6 2013 /358 AM CDT TUE AUG 6 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+4)   69-74 (+5)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+5)   89-94 (+4)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.11         0.52         

LAL                   2            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      S 10         

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 70. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



SON/TD









