

593 

FNUS54 KMRX 021858

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

258 PM EDT FRI AUG 2 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS AWAY FROM THE REGION...AN UNSETTLED WEATHER 

PATTERN WILL DEVELOP...AND INCREASE THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS UNSETTLED PATTERN IS 

EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA INTO NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-032000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

258 PM EDT FRI AUG 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+4)   80-85 (0)    63-68        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-11)  42-47 (+1)   88-93        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      N  8         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.14         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      NW 14        

DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-032000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

258 PM EDT FRI AUG 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+1)   80-85 (+3)   63-68        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-3)   41-46 (-2)   88-93        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.09         0.07         

LAL                   1            2            3            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      NW 15        

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-032000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

258 PM EDT FRI AUG 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-2)   82-87 (+5)   63-68        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  39-44 (-7)   88-93        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.11         0.07         

LAL                   1            2            3            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-032000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

258 PM EDT FRI AUG 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-3)   85-90 (+2)   65-70        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  39-44 (-2)   82-87        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.09         0.07         

LAL                   1            2            3            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      N 12         

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-032000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

258 PM EDT FRI AUG 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-2)   84-89 (+2)   63-68        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  38-43 (-4)   84-89        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.07         0.07         

LAL                   1            2            3            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-032000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

258 PM EDT FRI AUG 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   83-88 (+1)   65-70        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-7)   40-45 (+1)   86-91        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      NW 10        

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-032000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

258 PM EDT FRI AUG 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-1)   85-90 (+2)   66-71        84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-5)   39-44 (+1)   87-92        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.16         0.07         

LAL                   1            2            3            3            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      N 10         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-032000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

258 PM EDT FRI AUG 2 2013 /158 PM CDT FRI AUG 2 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-1)   87-92 (+2)   68-73        86-91        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-2)   40-45 (+3)   81-86        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.11         0.08         

LAL                   1            2            3            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      N 10         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$















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