

785 

FNUS54 KMRX 310720

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

320 AM EDT WED JUL 31 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TODAY GENERATING 

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. THE CHANCE OF 

PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH GREATLY 

REDUCED CHANCES FOR RAIN THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A DRY FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-010830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

320 AM EDT WED JUL 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-7)   60-65 (+1)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+26)  95-100 (+12) 58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.13         0.08         

LAL                   5            4            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      NW 16        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-010830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

320 AM EDT WED JUL 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-5)   60-65 (+2)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+19)  95-100 (+12) 59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           40           

PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.17         0.05         

LAL                   5            4            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      NW 18        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-010830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

320 AM EDT WED JUL 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-3)   61-66 (+2)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+16)  95-100 (+12) 56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.15         0.04         

LAL                   5            4            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-010830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

320 AM EDT WED JUL 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-4)   65-70 (+3)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+22)  93-98 (+12)  53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       7            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.13         0.06         

LAL                   5            4            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-010830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

320 AM EDT WED JUL 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-4)   64-69 (+2)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+22)  91-96 (+6)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       7            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.54         0.16         0.06         

LAL                   5            4            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     NW 16        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-010830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

320 AM EDT WED JUL 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-5)   62-67 (+2)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+21)  95-100 (+13) 54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION       7            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.12         0.06         

LAL                   5            4            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      NW 15        

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   58 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-010830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

320 AM EDT WED JUL 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-5)   64-69 (+2)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+25)  95-100 (+15) 49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       7            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.11         0.04         

LAL                   5            4            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS

THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-010830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

320 AM EDT WED JUL 31 2013 /220 AM CDT WED JUL 31 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-4)   65-70 (+1)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+22)  95-100 (+16) 49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         0.07         0.03         

LAL                   5            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     N 15         

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               58 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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