

350 

FNUS54 KMRX 270658

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

258 AM EDT SAT JUL 27 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TONIGHT...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. A BRIEF PERIOD OF DRY 

AND UNSEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK... 

BEFORE TEMPERATURES AND MOISTURE LEVELS RISE AGAIN TO NORMAL LEVELS 

BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-280800-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

258 AM EDT SAT JUL 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-5)   59-64 (-4)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+12)  95-100 (+7)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.06         0.04         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     W  9         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-280800-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

258 AM EDT SAT JUL 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-4)   59-64 (-3)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+6)   95-100 (+5)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           50           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.06         0.14         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     W  7         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-280800-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

258 AM EDT SAT JUL 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-6)   59-64 (-3)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   93-98 (+3)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           50           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.02         0.12         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     W  6         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-280800-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

258 AM EDT SAT JUL 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-6)   61-66 (-2)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+5)   92-97 (+5)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     NW  9        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-280800-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

258 AM EDT SAT JUL 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-6)   59-64 (-2)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+4)   95-100 (+8)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.02         0.06         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     NW 10        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-280800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

258 AM EDT SAT JUL 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-4)   61-66 (-2)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+7)   95-100 (+6)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.04         0.05         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     W  7         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-280800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

258 AM EDT SAT JUL 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-4)   60-65 (-3)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   95-100 (+7)  35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           10           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     NW  8        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-280800-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

258 AM EDT SAT JUL 27 2013 /158 AM CDT SAT JUL 27 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-5)   61-66 (-4)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+6)   90-95 (+8)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     NW  8        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 70.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













