

354 

FNUS54 KMRX 251916

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

315 PM EDT THU JUL 25 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TONIGHT...BRINGING TRANQUIL CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. A COLD 

FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING ANOTHER 

CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES ARE 

EXPECTED TO BE A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL AT NIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT 

WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-262015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

315 PM EDT THU JUL 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-4)   78-83 (0)    60-65        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-5)   44-49 (-2)   90-95        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            2            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     SW  8        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-262015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EDT THU JUL 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-4)   78-83 (0)    59-64        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-5)   43-48 (-1)   92-97        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.07         0.14         

LAL                   1            2            2            4            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     SW  7        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-262015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

315 PM EDT THU JUL 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-1)   77-82 (0)    61-66        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-5)   45-50 (0)    85-90        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.03         0.13         

LAL                   1            2            2            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     SW  7        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 

TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-262015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EDT THU JUL 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-1)   82-87 (0)    61-66        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   42-47 (-1)   89-94        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.06         0.12         

LAL                   1            2            2            3            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      SW  7        

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO 

MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-262015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EDT THU JUL 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-2)   82-87 (0)    60-65        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   42-47 (-2)   92-97        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.05         0.13         

LAL                   1            2            2            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      SW  6        

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-262015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

315 PM EDT THU JUL 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-5)   81-86 (0)    61-66        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-5)   41-46 (-2)   92-97        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     SW  6        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-262015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

315 PM EDT THU JUL 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-2)   82-87 (0)    62-67        82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-4)   42-47 (-1)   88-93        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     SW  7        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-262015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

315 PM EDT THU JUL 25 2013 /215 PM CDT THU JUL 25 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   84-89 (0)    64-69        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-2)   41-46 (0)    85-90        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      SW  6        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$







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