

984 

FNUS54 KMRX 240642

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

242 AM EDT WED JUL 24 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THIS AFTERNOON PRODUCING SCATTERED 

THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE STRONG PRODUCING STRONG 

GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS.  THE FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE 

CAROLINAS AND NORTHERN GULF COAST STATES. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW 

PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND 

PRODUCING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.



SEASONAL TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE 

REST OF THE WEEK.

  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-250745-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

242 AM EDT WED JUL 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   56-61 (-7)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-11)  95-100 (0)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     NE  6        

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS

IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-250745-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

242 AM EDT WED JUL 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+3)   55-60 (-7)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-12)  95-100 (0)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   3            1            2            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     W  5         

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-250745-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

242 AM EDT WED JUL 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+5)   58-63 (-3)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-11)  91-96 (-3)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   3            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     NW  3        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-250745-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

242 AM EDT WED JUL 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+7)   61-66 (-3)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-15)  92-97 (-4)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           10           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     NW  3        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-250745-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

242 AM EDT WED JUL 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+8)   60-65 (-3)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-17)  90-95 (-6)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.06         0.02         

LAL                   3            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      7500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     W  3         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-250745-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

242 AM EDT WED JUL 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+3)   58-63 (-6)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-10)  95-100 (-1)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   4            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     N  5         

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-250745-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

242 AM EDT WED JUL 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+2)   61-66 (-5)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-9)   92-97 (-4)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   4            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     N  6         

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-250745-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

242 AM EDT WED JUL 24 2013 /142 AM CDT WED JUL 24 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+5)   63-68 (-4)   83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-11)  92-97 (-4)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   4            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     N  3         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$















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