

127 

FNUS54 KMRX 231941

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

341 PM EDT TUE JUL 23 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN 

THIRD OF THE NATION INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...KEEPING A MOIST 

AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION. THIS MEANS A CONTINUATION OF 

THE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY...WITH SEASONAL 

TEMPERATURES FOR LATE JULY. DRIER WEATHER RETURNS BY THURSDAY WITH 

PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. 

  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

341 PM EDT TUE JUL 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-2)   79-84 (+4)   56-61        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  47-52 (-16)  95-100       45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     NE  6        

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS

IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

341 PM EDT TUE JUL 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-2)   78-83 (+4)   55-60        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  46-51 (-15)  95-100       47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.06         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   2            3            1            2            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     W  5         

DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-242045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

341 PM EDT TUE JUL 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   77-82 (+6)   58-63        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (0)    44-49 (-16)  90-95        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   2            3            1            2            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     NW  3        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-242045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

341 PM EDT TUE JUL 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+2)   82-87 (+8)   62-67        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  48-53 (-18)  93-98        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5 G17    NW  6        LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.12         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     NW  3        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-242045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

341 PM EDT TUE JUL 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+3)   82-87 (+8)   61-66        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  45-50 (-18)  91-96        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5 G16     NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.10         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            2            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      7500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     W  3         

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS

IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

341 PM EDT TUE JUL 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-2)   82-87 (+5)   58-63        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  46-51 (-13)  95-100       41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      N  5         

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

341 PM EDT TUE JUL 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (0)    82-87 (+4)   61-66        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   47-52 (-15)  91-96        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G16    NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     N  6         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-242045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

341 PM EDT TUE JUL 23 2013 /241 PM CDT TUE JUL 23 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (0)    84-89 (+7)   63-68        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  48-53 (-16)  92-97        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.13         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     N  3         

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S

TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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