

124 

FNUS54 KMRX 220749

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

349 AM EDT MON JUL 22 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN 

THIRD OF THE NATION INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...KEEPING A MOIST 

AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS ACROSS THE REGION. THIS MEANS A PROLONGED 

PERIOD OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY...WITH 

SEASONAL TEMPERATURES FOR LATE JULY. DRIER WEATHER RETURNS BY FRIDAY 

WITH PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-230900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

349 AM EDT MON JUL 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-2)   62-67 (-1)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-7)   95-100 (0)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    SW  7        W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.30         0.19         

LAL                   3            4            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 22         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   99 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-230900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

349 AM EDT MON JUL 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (0)    61-66 (0)    78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-7)   95-100 (+1)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  9 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        W  7 G15     W  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.17         0.18         

LAL                   3            4            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      7800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 25         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               109 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-230900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

349 AM EDT MON JUL 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-1)   61-66 (0)    77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-5)   95-100 (+3)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     W  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    SW  9 G18    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           50           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.18         0.22         

LAL                   3            4            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W 21         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-230900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

349 AM EDT MON JUL 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-2)   63-68 (+1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-2)   95-100 (+2)  52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW  6 G15    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.16         0.25         

LAL                   3            4            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     W 20         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-230900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

349 AM EDT MON JUL 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-3)   62-67 (0)    80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-1)   95-100 (+5)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  5        W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.15         0.24         

LAL                   4            4            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 21         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               86 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-230900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

349 AM EDT MON JUL 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-1)   64-69 (0)    82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-5)   95-100 (+1)  50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    SW  7 G15    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.24         0.20         

LAL                   3            4            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 20         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   81 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-230900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

349 AM EDT MON JUL 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-2)   65-70 (0)    83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-4)   95-100 (0)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    SW  6 G15    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           50           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.21         0.25         

LAL                   3            4            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 16         

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-230900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

349 AM EDT MON JUL 22 2013 /249 AM CDT MON JUL 22 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (0)    66-71 (0)    83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-7)   95-100 (0)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW  5        W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           50           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.50         0.16         0.29         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 20         

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD









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