

709 

FNUS54 KMRX 190801

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

401 AM EDT FRI JUL 19 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS AND A WEAK COLD FRONT SLOWLY APPROACHES THE 

REGION THIS WEEKEND. MORE RANDOM SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP 

IN THE HEAT OF THE AFTERNOON TODAY...FOLLOWED BY INCREASING CHANCES 

OF SHOWERS AND STORMS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-200900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

401 AM EDT FRI JUL 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (0)    64-69 (0)    82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-2)   95-100 (+4)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.07         0.16         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      7900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     W 10         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-200900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

401 AM EDT FRI JUL 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+2)   62-67 (0)    80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-6)   95-100 (+4)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.06         0.16         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      7800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      W  8         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-200900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

401 AM EDT FRI JUL 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+4)   62-67 (-1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-10)  91-96 (-3)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.06         0.16         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     W  6         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-200900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

401 AM EDT FRI JUL 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+3)   63-68 (-2)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-9)   93-98 (0)    51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.06         0.17         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW  6        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-200900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

401 AM EDT FRI JUL 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+1)   62-67 (-1)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-10)  94-99 (+2)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.06         0.17         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      7800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     W  5         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-200900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

401 AM EDT FRI JUL 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   65-70 (+1)   85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-5)   93-98 (+2)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.05         0.16         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      8000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     W  9         

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-200900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

401 AM EDT FRI JUL 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (+1)   66-71 (-1)   85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-8)   91-96 (-1)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.06         0.16         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW  8        

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-200900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

401 AM EDT FRI JUL 19 2013 /301 AM CDT FRI JUL 19 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (+2)   66-71 (-2)   85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-9)   91-96 (-2)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.04         0.17         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW  7        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD









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