

471 

FNUS54 KMRX 181426

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1026 AM EDT THU JUL 18 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE MID WEST WILL BRING HOT AND HUMID 

CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION FOR THE NEXT 

SEVERAL DAYS. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL 

INCREASE...ESPECIALLY BY THE WEEKEND AS A WEAK COLD FRONT SLOWLY 

APPROACHES THE REGION.

  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-191530-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1026 AM EDT THU JUL 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+1)   65-70 (+1)   85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-4)   95-100 (-1)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.06         0.13         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  9                      SW  9        

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-191530-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1026 AM EDT THU JUL 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+3)   64-69 (+1)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-4)   93-98 (-1)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.05         0.15         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  8                      W  8         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS

LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-191530-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1026 AM EDT THU JUL 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+2)   64-69 (0)    81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-2)   92-97 (+3)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.06         0.15         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     SW  9        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-191530-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1026 AM EDT THU JUL 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (+3)   67-72 (+1)   85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    90-95 (+3)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.06         0.16         

LAL                   4            2            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7                      S 10         

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-191530-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1026 AM EDT THU JUL 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   65-70 (0)    85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    92-97 (+1)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.07         0.16         

LAL                   4            2            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7                      S  9         

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-191530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1026 AM EDT THU JUL 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (0)    66-71 (+1)   87-92        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    95-100 (+1)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.06         0.14         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  8                      SW  9        

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-191530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1026 AM EDT THU JUL 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (-1)   67-72 (0)    87-92        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   90-95 (-1)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.06         0.12         

LAL                   4            2            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 10                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-191530-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1026 AM EDT THU JUL 18 2013 /926 AM CDT THU JUL 18 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      88-93 (+1)   68-73 (0)    87-92        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    90-95 (+1)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.06         0.12         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  9                      S 10         

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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