

643 

FNUS54 KMRX 150654

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

254 AM EDT MON JUL 15 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A BUILDING RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXPAND OVER THE EASTERN 

TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY AND TUESDAY.    

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160800-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

254 AM EDT MON JUL 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+5)   62-67 (0)    85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-17)  95-100 (+3)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     NE  7        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160800-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

254 AM EDT MON JUL 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+4)   60-65 (-1)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-16)  95-100 (+4)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 12                     NE  7        

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-160800-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

254 AM EDT MON JUL 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+2)   60-65 (+1)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-17)  90-95 (+2)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      2 PM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   2            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     NE  8        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF GUSTY WINDS

WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-160800-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

254 AM EDT MON JUL 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+4)   62-67 (+1)   85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-16)  95-100 (+2)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      2 PM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   2            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 12                     NE  5        

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF GUSTY WINDS

WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-160800-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

254 AM EDT MON JUL 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+4)   61-66 (+2)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-13)  95-100 (+4)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      2 PM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   2            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 16                     E  3         

DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   16 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         5            



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF GUSTY WINDS

WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

254 AM EDT MON JUL 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+4)   61-66 (-2)   86-91        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-13)  95-100 (+9)  39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     NE  8        

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER

70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

254 AM EDT MON JUL 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+2)   64-69 (0)    87-92        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-12)  93-98 (+6)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  8                      NE  8        

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS

IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160800-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

254 AM EDT MON JUL 15 2013 /154 AM CDT MON JUL 15 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+3)   64-69 (-1)   87-92        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-14)  94-99 (+6)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 12                     NE  8        

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN AND BRIEF GUSTY WINDS

WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 70. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS NEAR 90. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS

IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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