

329 

FNUS54 KMRX 111851

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

251 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...PRODUCING A 

FEW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. AS THE FRONT MOVES SOUTH OF THE AREA 

LATE TONIGHT...COOLER TEMPS AND DRIER AIR WILL SETTLE INTO THE 

REGION FOR FRIDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-122000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

251 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-4)   78-83 (+2)   58-63        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-3)  45-50 (-24)  91-96        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        E  6         E  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            4 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 12                     E  9         

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-122000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

251 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-5)   75-80 (+1)   58-63        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  47-52 (-22)  90-95        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        E  5         E  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            4 AM         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.01         0.03         

LAL                   3            2            2            2            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  8                     SE 10        

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-122000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

251 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-2)   76-81 (+1)   59-64        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-5)   45-50 (-23)  83-88        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  7        LGT/VAR      E  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            4 AM         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   3            2            2            2            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  9                     E  7         

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER

80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-122000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

251 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-4)   80-85 (0)    62-67        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  45-50 (-19)  84-89        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            4 AM         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   3            2            2            2            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  9                     E  5         

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

90S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



NCZ060-061-122000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

251 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-3)   80-85 (+2)   62-67        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (0)    44-49 (-22)  84-89        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            4 AM         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   3            2            2            2            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  6                     E  7         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER

90S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-122000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

251 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-5)   79-84 (+1)   59-64        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-4)   44-49 (-21)  89-94        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        LGT/VAR      E  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            4 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 10                     E  8         

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-122000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

251 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-4)   81-86 (0)    60-65        82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   42-47 (-18)  87-92        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  7        LGT/VAR      NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            4 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 12                     E  7         

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID

90S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO

LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S.

LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-122000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

251 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2013 /151 PM CDT THU JUL 11 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-3)   81-86 (-1)   62-67        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-6)   43-48 (-16)  85-90        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            4 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 12                     E  3         

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER

70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO

MID 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 90. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

MID 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$













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