

415 

FNUS54 KMRX 111436 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1036 AM EDT THU JUL 11 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...PRODUCING 

ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THESE STORMS 

COULD BE SEVERE PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL. THE 

COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT WITH SLIGHTLY 

COOLER TEMPERATURES AND DRIER AIR MOVING INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY 

FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-121545-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1036 AM EDT THU JUL 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-4)   59-64 (-6)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+1)   91-96 (-6)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     NE 13        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-121545-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1036 AM EDT THU JUL 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-3)   59-64 (-6)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-3)   90-95 (-5)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.05         0.01         

LAL                   4            3            2            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     N 12         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-121545-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1036 AM EDT THU JUL 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-2)   60-65 (-3)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-4)   89-94 (-7)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.05         0.01         

LAL                   4            3            2            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     NE 12        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-121545-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1036 AM EDT THU JUL 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-3)   62-67 (-5)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-3)   95-100 (+3)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         NE  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.06         0.01         

LAL                   4            3            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     NE 10        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-121545-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1036 AM EDT THU JUL 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-6)   62-67 (-4)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+3)   92-97 (-1)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.06         0.01         

LAL                   4            3            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     NE  8        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-121545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1036 AM EDT THU JUL 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-4)   61-66 (-6)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+1)   90-95 (-5)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     NE 13        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-121545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1036 AM EDT THU JUL 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    62-67 (-5)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-7)   90-95 (-7)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     NE 13        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-121545-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1036 AM EDT THU JUL 11 2013 /936 AM CDT THU JUL 11 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-3)   63-68 (-4)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (0)    91-96 (-5)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         NE  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   4            3            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     NE 10        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$















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