

905 

FNUS54 KMRX 051425 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1025 AM EDT FRI JUL 5 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...AND A NEARLY 

STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...WILL 

CONTINUE TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH 

SUNDAY. MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-061530-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1025 AM EDT FRI JUL 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+2)   61-66 (-2)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-11)  95-100 (+2)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.02         0.27         

LAL                   2            3            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      S 17         

DISPERSION            77 GOOD                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-061530-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1025 AM EDT FRI JUL 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+2)   61-66 (-1)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-12)  95-100 (+3)  54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            3            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.14         0.21         

LAL                   2            3            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      S 18         

DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-061530-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1025 AM EDT FRI JUL 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+2)   61-66 (-2)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-9)   94-99 (+6)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           70           

PRECIP DURATION       2            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.15         0.30         

LAL                   2            3            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      S 17         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-061530-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1025 AM EDT FRI JUL 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (0)    64-69 (0)    76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-4)   93-98 (0)    64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G15                 SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           80           

PRECIP DURATION       6            8            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.15         0.32         

LAL                   2            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      S 22         

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-061530-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1025 AM EDT FRI JUL 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+1)   64-69 (0)    75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-5)   92-97 (-1)   62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        LGT/VAR      SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           80           

PRECIP DURATION       6            8            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.17         0.33         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      SE 23        

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               75 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-061530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1025 AM EDT FRI JUL 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+2)   63-68 (-1)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-10)  95-100 (+1)  55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.08         0.26         

LAL                   2            3            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      S 15         

DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-061530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1025 AM EDT FRI JUL 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+3)   64-69 (-1)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-10)  94-99 (+1)   63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           80           

PRECIP DURATION       6            8            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.12         0.35         

LAL                   2            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      S 16         

DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-061530-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1025 AM EDT FRI JUL 5 2013 /925 AM CDT FRI JUL 5 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+2)   65-70 (0)    76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-8)   95-100 (+2)  65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           90           

PRECIP DURATION       6            8            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.20         0.44         

LAL                   2            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      S 18         

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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