

698 

FNUS54 KMRX 030835

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

435 AM EDT WED JUL 3 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW TO THE WEST...AND A NEARLY STATIONARY 

FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE EASTERN TENNESSEE VALLEY AREA WILL 

COMBINE TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION STARTING TODAY...AND PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-040930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

435 AM EDT WED JUL 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-4)   63-68 (+1)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+12)  95-100 (+3)  63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     SE  5 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  5        SE  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       6            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.58         0.55         

LAL                   5            3            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S 28         

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-040930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

435 AM EDT WED JUL 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-3)   62-67 (+2)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+7)   95-100 (+3)  60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G18    SE  7 G17    SE  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       6            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.72         0.58         

LAL                   5            3            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      S 32         

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-040930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

435 AM EDT WED JUL 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-1)   63-68 (+3)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   93-98 (-1)   63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       6            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.88         0.95         

LAL                   5            3            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      S 35         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-040930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

435 AM EDT WED JUL 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   64-69 (+1)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+3)   95-100 (+2)  70-75        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  9 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       6            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.72         1.18         

LAL                   5            3            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      SE 36        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-040930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

435 AM EDT WED JUL 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (0)    64-69 (+2)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+4)   95-100 (0)   71-76        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       6            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.85         1.07         

LAL                   5            3            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      SE 36        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-040930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

435 AM EDT WED JUL 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-3)   63-68 (+2)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+9)   95-100 (+5)  63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       6            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.68         0.70         

LAL                   5            3            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      S 26         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-040930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

435 AM EDT WED JUL 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   65-70 (+3)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+3)   95-100 (+2)  65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.64         1.13         

LAL                   5            3            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SE 22        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-040930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

435 AM EDT WED JUL 3 2013 /335 AM CDT WED JUL 3 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-2)   65-70 (+1)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   95-100 (+2)  66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       6            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.60         1.72         

LAL                   5            3            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      SE 26        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TD/SON









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