

360 

FNUS54 KMRX 021840

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

240 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW TO OUR WEST...AND A NEARLY STATIONARY 

FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE AREA WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD 

RAINFALL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION STARTING ON 

WEDNESDAY...AND PERSISTING THROUGH FRIDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-031945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

240 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+3)   76-81 (0)    63-68        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-2)   58-63 (+3)   95-100       65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      SE  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.35         0.57         0.72         

LAL                   4            4            5            5            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      S 22         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S

TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-031945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

240 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   73-78 (-1)   62-67        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  59-64 (+1)   95-100       61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SE  6        SE  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       3            5            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.50         0.84         0.68         

LAL                   4            5            5            5            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      S 24         

DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-031945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

240 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   73-78 (-1)   63-68        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (0)    54-59 (-4)   92-97        62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  5        SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       3            5            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.33         0.95         1.16         

LAL                   4            5            5            5            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      S 25         

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-031945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

240 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+2)   77-82 (0)    65-70        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (0)    55-60 (-3)   94-99        70-75        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SE  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  5        SE  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       3            5            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.33         0.95         1.40         

LAL                   4            5            5            5            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      S 26         

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-031945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

240 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+1)   77-82 (+2)   65-70        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-3)   53-58 (-8)   91-96        71-76        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  6        SE  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       3            5            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.34         0.99         1.31         

LAL                   4            5            5            5            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      SE 25        

DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-031945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

240 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+2)   77-82 (0)    64-69        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+2)   56-61 (+2)   95-100       65-70        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       3            3            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.36         0.77         0.87         

LAL                   4            5            5            5            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      S 22         

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S

TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-031945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

240 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+3)   77-82 (-1)   65-70        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-1)   56-61 (+2)   95-100       66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.32         0.77         1.40         

LAL                   4            5            5            5            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      S 23         

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-031945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

240 PM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013 /140 PM CDT TUE JUL 2 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+3)   78-83 (-1)   66-71        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-5)   57-62 (+3)   93-98        68-73        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      SE  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.37         0.89         1.70         

LAL                   4            5            5            5            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      S 25         

DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID

80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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