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033 

FNUS54 KMRX 021437 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1037 AM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN TO THE WEST...KEEPING SCATTERED 

TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 

SEVERAL DAYS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE BELOW NORMAL. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-031545-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1037 AM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-1)   61-66 (+1)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-2)   93-98 (+1)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           70           

PRECIP DURATION       2            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.19         0.35         

LAL                   4            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      S  7         

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-031545-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1037 AM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-1)   60-65 (0)    73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-1)   95-100 (+5)  60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      S  8 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           70           

PRECIP DURATION       3            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.35         0.50         

LAL                   4            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      S 13         

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-031545-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1037 AM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (0)    61-66 (+1)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-2)   88-93 (0)    54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  5         S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           70           

PRECIP DURATION       2            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.17         0.33         

LAL                   4            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      S 10         

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-031545-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1037 AM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+1)   64-69 (+2)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   85-90 (-2)   57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SE  5        SE  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           80           

PRECIP DURATION       2            3            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.15         0.33         

LAL                   4            4            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      S 15         

DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-031545-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1037 AM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+1)   64-69 (+2)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+6)   84-89 (-5)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      SE  8        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           80           

PRECIP DURATION       2            3            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.20         0.34         

LAL                   4            4            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      S 14         

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-031545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1037 AM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   61-66 (0)    77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   95-100 (+6)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           70           

PRECIP DURATION       2            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.19         0.36         

LAL                   4            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S  6         

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-031545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1037 AM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (0)    63-68 (+2)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   90-95 (0)    54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.09         0.32         

LAL                   4            4            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      S 10         

DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-031545-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1037 AM EDT TUE JUL 2 2013 /937 AM CDT TUE JUL 2 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   64-69 (+2)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   89-94 (-2)   57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.07         0.37         

LAL                   4            4            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      S 12         

DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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