

989 

FNUS54 KMRX 011844

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

244 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN TO OUR WEST...KEEPING SCATTERED 

TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 

FEW DAYS. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-021945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

244 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-1)   76-81 (-2)   61-66        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+6)   55-60 (+3)   92-97        62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           50           70           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.17         0.10         0.33         

LAL                   4            4            3            4            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      S 14         

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-021945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

244 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (0)    74-79 (-1)   60-65        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+1)   55-60 (-1)   93-98        64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  5        SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           50           70           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.19         0.17         0.44         

LAL                   4            4            3            4            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      S 16         

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-021945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

244 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   76-81 (+1)   61-66        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-1)   52-57 (-4)   88-93        58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           50           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.16         0.13         0.48         

LAL                   3            4            3            4            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      S 15         

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-021945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

244 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+4)   79-84 (0)    64-69        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-3)   50-55 (-1)   87-92        60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           50           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.14         0.15         0.52         

LAL                   3            3            3            4            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      S 17         

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-021945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

244 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+4)   78-83 (-2)   64-69        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-7)   52-57 (+3)   86-91        58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           50           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.17         0.16         0.55         

LAL                   3            3            3            4            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      S 20         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-021945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

244 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (0)    77-82 (-2)   61-66        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+4)   54-59 (+2)   95-100       61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           50           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.17         0.12         0.38         

LAL                   4            4            3            4            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      S 13         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-021945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

244 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (0)    78-83 (-2)   63-68        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+5)   54-59 (+3)   90-95        56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.13         0.07         0.35         

LAL                   3            4            3            4            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      S 14         

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-021945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

244 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013 /144 PM CDT MON JUL 1 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+2)   80-85 (-1)   64-69        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-3)   51-56 (+2)   89-94        60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.08         0.15         0.39         

LAL                   3            3            3            4            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      S 13         

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS NEAR 90.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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