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825 

FNUS54 KMRX 011403 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1003 AM EDT MON JUL 1 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN TO OUR WEST...KEEPING SCATTERED 

TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 

FEW DAYS. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-021515-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1003 AM EDT MON JUL 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-2)   60-65 (-1)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+8)   90-95 (+5)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.10         0.16         

LAL                   4            4            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     S 12         

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-021515-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1003 AM EDT MON JUL 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-1)   59-64 (-1)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+6)   90-95 (+3)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.15         0.18         

LAL                   4            4            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      S 12         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-021515-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1003 AM EDT MON JUL 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-1)   58-63 (-1)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+7)   90-95 (+2)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.13         0.15         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     SW 13        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-021515-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1003 AM EDT MON JUL 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-1)   60-65 (+1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+8)   90-95 (+2)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.11         0.13         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     S 14         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-021515-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1003 AM EDT MON JUL 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   60-65 (+1)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+4)   91-96 (+2)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.13         0.16         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     S 13         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-021515-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1003 AM EDT MON JUL 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-2)   60-65 (-1)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+10)  90-95 (+5)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.12         0.16         

LAL                   4            4            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     S  9         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-021515-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1003 AM EDT MON JUL 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-1)   61-66 (0)    78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+9)   90-95 (+3)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.08         0.12         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     S 13         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS AROUND 80.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-021515-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1003 AM EDT MON JUL 1 2013 /903 AM CDT MON JUL 1 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    62-67 (+1)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+7)   90-95 (+1)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.06         0.07         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     S 13         

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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